BTC lab · 24h · balanced
What the tape actually says
Multi-venue spot, OKX funding, Coinbase premium vs offshore, Fear & Greed, realized vol. The lean is a weighted vote — you can see every factor.
BTC-USD
$71,494-3.8%
24h scenarios
Bull$72,883
Base$71,348
Bear$69,845
90% band $69,580 – $73,161. Expected -0.2%.
No clean 24h edge. Factors disagree or the move is already in the price. Stand down unless your minimum edge is lower.
Coinbase premium
0.0 bps
vs offshore average
Funding
0.87 bps
OKX
Fear & Greed
28
Fear
Open interest
$2.63B
OKX BTC perp
Realized vol 7d
29%
annualized
Realized vol 30d
36%
annualized
24h high
$74,737
low $71,151
24h volume
$738.2M
ETH -3% · SOL -4%
Factor ledger
24h momentum
-0.88
w 20%
Offer is in control over the last session.
7d momentum
-0.57
w 11%
Week return -5.9%.
30d trend
0.63
w 7%
Month return 13.4%.
Mean reversion
0.34
w 13%
Price is near its recent mean.
Perp funding
-0.30
w 15%
Longs pay shorts. Crowded longs are the fade.
Fear & greed
0.20
w 13%
Fear at 28. Extremes are contrarian; the middle follows.
Coinbase premium
-0.00
w 13%
US retail and offshore are aligned.
14d range position
0.55
w 9%
Trading at 3% of the two-week range.
What would change the view
- A funding spike above 3 bps per 8h would start a crowded-long fade.
- A push into extreme greed (>75) would add a contrarian short overlay.
- A break of the 14-day high on expanding volume would retire the mean-reversion lean.
- Coinbase premium collapsing to flat would remove the retail-FOMO fade.
Venue tape
Coinbase$71,494.30
Kraken$71,489.10
Bitstamp$71,484.12
Gemini$71,509.26
Grok overlay
Runs on your command only. Uses the live facts on this page — it does not fetch a second opinion from the void.